You may want to double-check your math

The ultimate stated goal of the 0% tax increase is to save you, the taxpayer, money.  This sounds like a fine goal, because after all, who doesn’t want to save a little money?  In fact, TransUnion has reported that average Canadian non-mortgage debt has risen to $26,768, meaning that we are all feeling a financial pinch in one way or another.  If there’s a spot where we would like to save a bit of money, it would certainly be on taxes.

So, let’s look at the math of the proposed tax savings.  The Fontana 8 are presenting themselves as the fiscally responsible choice, equating this with lower taxes.  Does it add up?  Are the 8 saving you money with their proposed cuts?  Let’s look at deferred costs, increased fees, reserves, and debt.

Deferred Costs

There’s saving the tax payer money, and then there’s ‘kicking the can down the road’.  By this phrase I mean simply taking expenses we have to pay, and waiting to later to pay them.  Whether it’s delaying service to our City vehicles ($543,000), delaying funds for accessibility adaptations ($561,000), delaying the neighbourhood hubs ($93,000), delaying the In Motion health promotion project ($40,000), delaying the new fire service training tower ($2,398,000), delaying new bike lanes ($110,000), delaying purchasing new landfill properties ($1,000,000 in 2014), delaying building a new fire station (700,000 starting in 2017), delaying Commissioners Rd improvements ($5,250,000 in 2020), delaying purchasing industrial land ($600,000), and delaying replacing buses ($500,000), you might be shocked to learn that over $4,800,000 of ‘cuts’ for 2012 (not to mention going forward projections) are things we’ll just have to pay for later.

Increased Fees

So, if it’s about saving you the tax payer money, it shouldn’t mean leveraging more money from you in other ways, should it?  Well, you would be wrong.  Through increased recreation facility fees ($137,000), building approval fees ($19,000), fence inspection fees ($5,000), rental unit licensing fees ($180,000), bounced cheque fees ($6,000), and taxation service fees ($59,000), $406,000 of tax reduction is done by increasing our fees.

Raiding Reserves

Reserves funds are NOT rainy day funds, they are the chequing accounts for our different City programs that we use to pay our bills.  So, when a program or division needs to spend money, having cash in the reserve fund means they don’t have to borrow to spend, saving us $1.4 million in interest payments this year alone.  This is why healthy reserves are a major part of our ‘triple A’ credit rating.  Much of the money in reserves is already accounted for in anticipated bills or contracts already signed.  Of the $191,000,000 in reserves, $113,000,000 of that is already planned to be spent.  So, this isn’t just piles of cash we are sitting on.  However, once again we see a proposed $1,000,000 reduction to the Affordable Housing Reserve Fund.

Debt

The greatest hit to the pocket book, as any family knows, is to put operating expenses (ie. food and mortgage), onto the credit card.  So, increasing debt has not only negative long-term consequences, but exponential negative long-term consequences.  No Council can claim to be fiscally responsible if they are shoulder future Londoners with more debt while ‘saving us money’.  Guess what, this is exactly what is happening.  Prior to 2010, we were in the process of paying down our debt, which costs us $60,300,000 annually in servicing costs.  In 2010, our total debt was $319.8M, but with the change to taking on more debt, we are now sitting at $347.2M in debt.  And the plans of our 0% Council?  To have us at $477.1M by 2014.  Yes, that’s right, the 0% tax increase has come hand-in-hand with and 8.6% debt increase to date, with a projected 4-year 49% debt increase.  If rates hold the same, and we reach the forecasted debt level, we will be paying $22.2M more in debt servicing in 2014 than we are in 2012.  Even if we start holding debt even as of 2015, our debt servicing costs by 2020 will be $91.3M, or about 50% more than they are now.

Does the math from this ‘fiscally responsible’ Council worry you?  Here’s what you can do.

2 thoughts on “You may want to double-check your math

  1. Pingback: The Worst Idea of All | Abe Oudshoorn's Blog

  2. Pingback: Final Budget 2013 Post: Reserves | Abe Oudshoorn's Blog

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